An infectious diseases researcher and associate professor at the University of Toronto has released a Canadian COVID forecast and she’s predicting a severe risk from now until November 3.
Tara Moriarty says Newfoundland and Labrador is experiencing what the rest of the country is experiencing right now which is a very high number of COVID infections. The forecast predicts one in 21 residents of Newfoundland and Labrador to become infected over the next week or two.
Moriarty says now is the time to make sure you get your booster and take precautions such as using a mask when in an indoor setting.
While Moriarty expects most cases to be mild, she says the sheer number of infections will put a strain on the health care system. She also expects there to be a significant number of deaths.
She expects the number of deaths to be about 20 per cent higher than it would be in a normal week and the number of hospitalizations will be about 13 times higher than it was at the lowest point of the pandemic.
Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 21-Nov 3, 2023
SEVERE: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, ON, PEI, QC, SK
VERY HIGH: none
About 1 in 19 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected. pic.twitter.com/89viUDNkxs
— Tara Moriarty (@MoriartyLab) October 22, 2023